Prediction of Erik Arutiunian vs Ognjen Milic at M15 Sharm ElSheikh 11-30-25

• Second Serve Performance: Erik Arutiunian has recently won 48.05% of points on his second serve compared to Ognjen Milic's 42.11%. Could this give Erik the upper hand on serve? Perhaps.
• Return Game Strength: Ognjen Milic leads in converting second serve returns, capturing 44.86% of such points recently, whereas Erik Arutiunian has managed 42.84%. Can Milic continue to capitalize on Erik's second serve? Potentially.
• First Serve Return Stats: Milic boasts a better first serve return rate, winning 26.19% of points, while Arutiunian trails with 22.30%. Does this make Milic more likely to break serve often? Very possibly.
• Performance Under Pressure: Arutiunian is slightly more efficient in saving breakpoints with a 52.46% success rate compared to Milic's 49.46%. Could this determine crucial points in the match? It might.
• Overall Performance: In terms of match wins over the past year, Milic has a slight edge with a 76.67% win rate compared to 68.83% for Arutiunian.
• Surface Preference: Both players perform best on hard surfaces, each achieving a 65% win rate on their preferred surface. Will this match’s surface influence their performance significantly?
• Player Experience Level: Both compete largely at the $10K ITF level, with Milic having a slightly better win percentage in these tournaments.
• Opponent Quality: Milic has faced slightly stronger opponents, with an average rank of 400.53 compared to 408.43 for Arutiunian.
• Deciding Set Records: If the match goes to a deciding set, Arutiunian holds a slim advantage with a 65% win rate, just ahead of Milic's 64%.
• Current Event Performance: Although past performance is crucial, current form at the event should also be considered to get a clearer picture of who may be favored.

Editorial Prediction (November 29, 2025, UTC):

As Ognjen Milic and Erik Arutiunian prepare to face off, the stats reveal a tightly contested matchup. Both players excel on hard surfaces, suggesting an even playing field based on their surface preferences.

Erik Arutiunian shows superior performance in saving breakpoints and has a slightly better record in deciding sets. On the other hand, Ognjen Milic's stronger return game and higher win percentage against comparable quality opposition provide an advantage.

Considering these elements and observing Milic's superior ability to return serves and contest against marginally higher-ranked opponents, Ognjen Milic emerges as the likely favorite to win this upcoming match.